Subconscious design system
Action models 2026

Action models for product and strategy.

Most AI predicts words. We run causal experiments to predict which action wins, then test it against published human studies.

In production at
0.73 Mean rank correlation · 43 filtered studies · human ceiling 0.959
8h To a live simulation
24/7 Always-on experiments
SOC 2 Type I certified
The problem

The say-do gap.

$80B a year buys research on stated preferences. 46% of online panel respondents fail basic quality checks.

Stated
"I'd pay 20% more for premium."
62 pp
Revealed
Buys the cheaper SKU 6 of 7 weeks.
FIG · ILLUSTRATIVE · drag the red line

Model what people do, not what they say.

How it works

Live within eight hours.

Four steps. A live simulation within eight hours. Experiments in under five minutes.

01 · Connect

Your data, your customers

De-identified histories become the market. No syndicated proxies.

02 · Define

The decision that matters

Price, message, segment or channel. Frame it as a counterfactual.

03 · Simulate

Random assignment, in silico

Treatment against control. Agents return actions, not opinions.

04 · Prioritize

Outcomes ranked by lift

Causal effects with confidence intervals. Best action first.

Use cases

Where this earns the meeting.

Pricing

Elasticity, before markdown season eats the plan.

Find the price that lifts contribution without cannibalizing.

Messaging

Pretest copy against the cohort that buys.

Ship only the lines that move behavior.

Product

Counterfactual feature priority.

The roadmap stops being a list of opinions.

Audience

Behavioral clusters, not demographic shells.

Who churns, upgrades or refers. Probabilities, not personas.

Pricing

Priced like software.

One public number. Everything else is a conversation, scoped to the decision you need proven.

TIERS · LIST PRICE ONLY
Client outcomes

What shipped on this.

5×
Head of Product, Finta
5× ARR · +92% revenue uplift on the validated price.
$8M
VP Research, Fortune 100 Aerospace
Full research budget replaced by a 3-minute simulation.
+30%
New Age Floral
CTR after the validated creative change.
Performance

Against the incumbent stack.

Metric
Traditional research
Subconscious
Time to insight
6–8 weeks
Under 5 minutes
Mean rank correlation
0.55
0.73 · n=43
Sample size required
1,000+
0 (synthetic)
Panel fraud rate
46%
0%
Privacy compliance
Manual audit
By design
Word of mouth

What operators say.

QUOTES · ILLUSTRATIVE · ROLES, NOT NAMES
Questions

Asked, answered.

The next decision doesn't have to guess.

Backed by insiders from
Sequoia · OpenAI · UChicago · Bloomberg

Compliance
SOC 2 Type I · GDPR & CCPA · Zero data sharing · 99.5% uptime SLA

Partners and hiring
Build with us · Come work here